Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Articles:

Lai, Y., P.H. Hutton, and S.B. Roy. 2025. Inferring Trends and Temperature Sensitivities Using Regression‐Based Unimpaired Runoff to San Francisco Estuary, 1872–2022. Journal of the American Water Resources Associationa. 61(5), e70057. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.70057

Lai, Y., B. Choi, and S.B. Roy. 2025. Bayesian inference of historical streamflow changes suggests further stress in the Colorado River Basin. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. 61 (2025). 102109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102619

Lai, Y., P.H. Hutton, and S.B. Roy. 2024. Reconstructing seasonal unimpaired runoff volumes to the San Francisco Estuary: Extending the available record back to water year 1872. Journal of the American Water Resources Associationa. 61.1 (2025). e13247. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13247

Lai, Y. and M. Pozzi. 2024. Sequential learning of climate change via a physical-parameter-based state-space model and Bayesian inference. Climatic Change. 177 (6). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03739-w

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2023. Using Climate Model Decadal Predictions and Statistical Extrapolations of Location-Specific Near-Term Temperature and Precipitation for Infrastructure Engineering. ASCE OPEN: Multidisciplinary Journal of Civil Engineering, 1, 04023005. https://doi.org/10.1061/AOMJAH.AOENG-0015

Lai, Y., T. Lopez-Cantu, D.A. Dzombak, and C. Samaras. 2022. Framing the Use of Climate Model Projections in Infrastructure Engineering – Practices, Uncertainties, and Recommendations. Journal of Infrastructure Systems. 28 (3), 04022020. Editor's Choice. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000685

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2021. Assessing the Effect of Changing Ambient Air Temperature on Water Temperature and Quality in Drinking Water Distribution Systems. Water. 13(14), 1916, https://doi.org/10.3390/w13141916

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2021. Use of Integrated Global Climate Model Simulations and Statistical Time Series Forecasting to Project Regional Temperature and Precipitation. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 60, 695–710, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0204.1

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2020. Use of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model to Forecast Near-term Regional Temperature and Precipitation. Weather and Forecasting, 35, 959–976, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0158.1

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2019. Use of Historical Data to Assess Regional Climate Change. Journal of Climate, 32, 4299–4320, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0630.1

Published datasets and software:

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2020. Statistical Climate Forecasting Integrated for Civil and Environmental Engineering (scifi) R Package, https://github.com/yuchuan-lai/scifi.

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2019. Compiled historical daily temperature and precipitation data for selected 210 U.S. cities. Carnegie Mellon University, Dataset, https://doi.org/10.1184/R1/7890488.v5

Lai, Y. and D.A. Dzombak. 2019. Historical changes of annual temperature and precipitation indices in the U.S. cities. Carnegie Mellon University, Dataset, https://doi.org/10.1184/R1/7961012.v5.